Climate-oriented land use management
Abstract
Purpose. The purpose of the article is to investigate the interaction of climate change with land use to properly understand the consequences and make management decisions, taking into account all the risks and opportunities to ensure non-extensive use and long-term conservation of land resources for future generations.
Methodology / approach. The methodological approach involves studying the practice of land use management by analyzing integrated indicators: vulnerability of land use to climate change (responding for climate change prevention) and assessing the impact of climate change on land use (adaptation to climate change) the basis for the calculation of which were quantitative and qualitative indicators for the period 2000–2020.
Results. It is established that the existing land management system in Ukraine in accordance with the policy of international organizations and the Sustainable Development Agenda until 2030 requires consideration of new technologies and practices in combating climate change and its consequences based on national conditions and priorities. Studies of the effectiveness of management measures in the field of land use showed that in the period 2000–2009, responding measures for climate change prevention were mostly targeted, and in 2010–2020 acquired signs of systemicity, while for the entire study period the effectiveness of adaptation measures underwent minor changes. At the same time, having positive dynamics, but different trends in the period from 2012 to 2014, measures to respond and adapt to climate challenges equalized in effectiveness. It is found that after 2014, more efforts, financial resources and means have begun to be spent on combating the consequences than on measures to adapt to climate change. This means that the current land management system needs immediate transformation. After all, it is impossible to allow any extreme phenomena to jeopardize the food security of the state. The effectiveness of management activities should be not only in a timely response, but first of all in trying to be proactive reducing vulnerability and increasing the resilience of land use to climate change.
Originality / scientific novelty. This is the first comparative analysis of the effectiveness of land management measures regarding the interaction of climate change with land use according to indicators in dynamics. The need to increase the adaptive capacity to reduce potential losses in land use in the future is substantiated.
Practical value / implications. The results of the study can serve as a basis for modernization of existing land use projects and improvement of ways to manage them on the basis of low-carbon development to ensure food security of the population of Ukraine in the context of climate change.
References
Адаменко Т. Зміна клімату та сільське господарство в Україні: що варто знати фермерам? Німецько-український агрополітичний діалог. Київ, 2019. 34 с. URL: https://cutt.ly/WCumeZH.
Long H., Zhang Y., Ma L., Tu S. Land use transitions: progress, challenges and prospects. Land. 2021. Vol. 10(9). 903. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10090903.
Будзяк О., Будзяк В., Грицак О. Ефективне використання «чистих» земель України в умовах сталого розвитку. Agricultural and Resource Economics. 2021. Vol. 7. No. 3. Pp. 162–178. https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2021.07.03.10.
Long H., Qu Y. Land use transitions and land management: a mutual feedback perspective. Land Use Policy. 2018. Vol. 74. Pp. 111–120. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.03.021.
Україна і політика протидії зміні клімату: економічний аспект: аналіт. доповідь; за ред. В. Сіденка, О. Веклич. Київ: Заповіт, 2016. 208 с. URL: https://razumkov.org.ua/images/Material_Conference/11_24_2016/2016_Klimat.pdf.
Camargo J., Barcena I., Soares P. M., Schmidt L., Andaluz J. Mind the climate policy gaps: climate change public policy and reality in Portugal, Spain and Morocco. Climatic Change. 2020. Vol. 161. Pp. 151–169. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02646-9.
Andrea V. Mediterranean forest policy beyond the Paris Climate Agreement. Land Use Policy. 2022. Vol. 112. 105797. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2021.105797.
Furini F., Bosello F. Accounting for adaptation and its effectiveness in International Environmental Agreements. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies. 2021. Vol. 23. Is. 2. Pp. 467–493. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-020-00294-3.
Smith P., Calvin K., Nkem J., Campbell D., Cherubini F., Grassi G., Korotkov V., … Arneth A. Which practices co-deliver food security, climate change mitigation and adaptation, and combat land degradation and desertification? Global Change Biology. 2020. Vol. 23. Is. 2. Pp. 1532–1575. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14878.
Bastin J.-F., Finegold Y., Garcia C., Mollicone D., Rezende M., Routh D., Zohner C. M., Crowther T. W. The global tree restoration potential. Science. 2019. Vol. 365. Is. 6448. Pp. 76–79. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aax0848.
Amadu F. O., Miller D. C., McNamara P. E. Agroforestry as a pathway to agricultural yield impacts in climate-smart agriculture investments: evidence from southern Malawi. Ecological Economics. 2020. Vol. 167. 106443. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106443.
Gomes L. C., Bianchi F. J. J. A., Cardoso I. M., Fernandes R. B. A., Filho F., Shulte R. P. O. Agroforestry systems can mitigate the impacts of climate change on coffee production: a spatially explicit assessment in Brazil. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment. 2020. Vol. 294(1). 106858. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2020.106858.
Kay S., Rega C., Moreno G., Herder M., Palma J. H. N, Borek R., Crous-Duran J., … Herzog F. Agroforestry creates carbon sinks whilst enhancing the environment in agricultural landscapes in Europe. Land Use Policy. 2019. Vol. 83. Pp. 581–593. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.landusepol.2019.02.025.
Ginbo T., Di Corato L., Hoffmann R. Investing in climate change adaptation and mitigation: a methodological review of real-options studies. Ambio. 2021. Vol. 50. Pp. 229–241. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01342-8.
Falcone P. M. Environmental regulation and green investments: the role of green finance. International Journal of Green Economics. 2020. Vol. 14. Is. 2. Pp. 159–173. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGE.2020.109735.
Regan C. M., Bryan B. A., Connor J. D., Meyer W. S., Ostendorf B., Zhu Z., Bao C. Real options analysis for land use management: methods, application, and implications for policy. Journal of Environmental Management. 2015. Vol. 161. Pp. 144–152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.07.004.
Офіційний сайт Державної служби України з питань геодезії, картографії та кадастру. Структура земельного фонду України та динаміка його змін (2000–2020 рр.).URL: https://land.gov.ua/old/info/statystyka.
Іванюта С. П., Коломієць О. О., Малиновська О. А., Якушенко Л. М. Зміна клімату: наслідки та заходи адаптації: аналіт. доповідь; за ред. С. П. Іванюти. Київ: НІСД, 2020. 110 с. URL: https://niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2020-10/dop-climate-final-5_sait.pdf.
Офіційний сайт Українського гідрометеорологічного центру. Агрокліматичний довідник. URL: https://meteo.gov.ua/ua/33345/agrometeorology/agro_regime_climatic_information.
Офіційний сайт Державної служби статистики України. Статистична інформація. URL: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua.
Офіційний сайт Державної служби України з надзвичайних ситуацій. Інформаційно-аналітична довідка про виникнення надзвичайних ситуацій в Україні (2000–2020 рр.). URL: https://www.dsns.gov.ua.
Офіційний сайт Міністерства захисту довкілля та природних ресурсів України. URL: https://mepr.gov.ua/content/vidkriti--dani.html.
Офіційний сайт FAO. Food security and nutrition around the world in 2020. URL: https://www.fao.org/3/ca9692en/online/ca9692en.html#chapter-1_1.
Офіційний сайт Міністерства захисту довкілля та природних ресурсів України. Схема висвітлення кліматичних питань в документах державного планування та при виконанні стратегічної екологічної оцінки. URL: https://mepr.gov.ua/news/34766.html.
Міністерство екології та природних ресурсів України. Щорічний національний звіт про кадастр для подання відповідно до Рамкової конвенції ООН про зміну клімату та Кіотського протоколу. Київ, 2020. URL: https://mepr.gov.ua/news/39033.html.
Огляд реалізації основних положень Кіотського протоколу до Рамкової Конвенції ООН про зміну клімату та зобов’язання країн-членів ОЕСР і Євросоюзу щодо виконання рекомендацій Паризької Конференції. Київ, 2017. 108 с. URL: https://ua.energy/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/3.-Osn_polozh_SOR21.pdf.
SLM practices Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. URL: http://www.fao.org/land-water/land/sustainable-land-management/slm-ractices.
Офіційний сайт Міністерства економіки України. URL: https://www.me.gov.ua.
Бородіна О. М., Киризюк С. В., Яровий В. Д., Єрмольєв Ю. М., Єрмольєва Т. Ю. Моделювання локальних систем землекористування в умовах глобальних змін клімату. Економіка і прогнозування. 2016. № 1. С. 117–128. URL: http://nbuv.gov.ua/UJRN/econprog_2016_1_10.
References
Adamenko, T. (2019). Climate change and agriculture in Ukraine: what farmers need to know? German-Ukrainian agro-political dialogue with the support of the Federal Ministry of Food and Agriculture. Kyiv, Zapovit. Available at: https://mepr.gov.ua/files/docs/Zmina_klimaty/2020.
Long, H., Zhang, Y., Ma, L., & Tu, S. (2021). Land use transitions: progress, challenges and prospects. Land, 10(9), 903. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10090903.
Budziak, O., Budziak, V., & Hrytsak, O. (2021). Effective use of “clean” lands of Ukraine under conditions of sustainable development. Agricultural and Resource Economics, 7(3), 162–178. https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2021.07.03.10.
Long, H., & Qu, Y. (2018). Land use transitions and land management: a mutual feedback perspective. Land Use Policy, 74, 111–120. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.03.021.
Sidenko, V., & Veklych, O. (Eds.) (2016). Ukrayina i polityka protydiyi zmini klimatu: ekonomichnyy aspekt [Ukraine and the policy of combating climate change: economic aspect], Kyiv, Zapovit. Available at: https://razumkov.org.ua/images/Material_Conference/11_24_2016/2016_Klimat.pdf
Camargo, J., Barcena, I., Soares, P. M., Schmidt, L., & Andaluz, J. (2020). Mind the climate policy gaps: climate change public policy and reality in Portugal, Spain and Morocco. Climatic Change, 161, 151–169. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02646-9.
Andrea, V. (2022). Mediterranean forest policy beyond the Paris Climate Agreement. Land Use Policy, 112, 105797. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2021.105797.
Furini, F., & Bosello, F. (2021). Accounting for adaptation and its effectiveness in International Environmental Agreements. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 23(2), 467–493. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-020-00294-3.
Smith, P., Calvin, K., Nkem, J., Campbell, D., Cherubini, F., Grassi, G., Korotkov, V., … & Arneth, A. (2020). Which practices co-deliver food security, climate change mitigation and adaptation, and combat land degradation and desertification? Global Change Biology, 23(2), 1532–1575. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14878.
Bastin, J.-F., Finegold, Y., Garcia, C., Mollicone, D., Rezende, M., Routh, D., Zohner, C. M., & Crowther, T. W. (2019). The global tree restoration potential. Science, 365(6448), 76–79. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aax0848.
Amadu, F. O., Miller, D. C., & McNamara, P. E. (2020). Agroforestry as a pathway to agricultural yield impacts in climate-smart agriculture investments: evidence from southern Malawi. Ecological Economics, 167, 106443. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106443.
Gomes, L. C., Bianchi, F. J. J. A., Cardoso, I. M., Fernandes, R. B. A., Filho, F., & Shulte, R. P. O. (2020). Agroforestry systems can mitigate the impacts of climate change on coffee production: a spatially explicit assessment in Brazil. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 294(1), 106858. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2020.106858.
Kay, S., Rega, C., Moreno, G., Herder, M., Palma, J. H. N, Borek, R., Crous-Duran, J., … Herzog, F. (2019). Agroforestry creates carbon sinks whilst enhancing the environment in agricultural landscapes in Europe. Land Use Policy, 83, 581–593. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.landusepol.2019.02.025.
Ginbo, T., Di Corato, L., & Hoffmann, R. (2021). Investing in climate change adaptation and mitigation: a methodological review of real-options studies. Ambio, 50, 229–241. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01342-8.
Falcone, P. M. (2020). Environmental regulation and green investments: the role of green finance. International Journal of Green Economics, 14(2), 159–173. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGE.2020.109735.
Regan, C. M., Bryan, B. A., Connor, J. D., Meyer, W. S., Ostendorf, B., Zhu, Z., & Bao, C. (2015). Real options analysis for land use management: Methods, application, and implications for policy. Journal of Environmental Management, 161, 144–152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.07.004.
State Service of Ukraine for Geodesy, Cartography and Cadastre (2021). The Structure of the Land Fund of Ukraine and the dynamics of its changes (2000–2020). Available at: https://land.gov.ua/old/info/statystyka.
Ivanyuta, S. P., Kolomiets, O. O., Malinovskaya, O. A., & Yakushenko, L. M. (2020). Zmina klimatu: naslidky ta zakhody adaptatsiyi [Climate change: consequences and adaptation measures], NISD, Kyiv. Available at: https://niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2020-10/dop-climate-final-5_sait.pdf.
Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center (2021). Agroclimatic guide. Available at: https://meteo.gov.ua/ua/33345/agrometeorology/agro_regime_climatic_information.
State Statistics Service of Ukraine (2021). Statistical data. Available at: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua.
State Service of Ukraine for Emergencies (2021). Information and analytical information on emergencies in Ukraine (2000–2020). Available at: https://www.dsns.gov.ua.
Ministry of Environmental Protection and Natural Resources of Ukraine (2021). Official website. Available at: https://mepr.gov.ua/content/vidkriti--dani.html.
FAO (2020). Food security and nutrition around the world in 2020. Available at: https://www.fao.org/3/ca9692en/online/ca9692en.html#chapter-1_1.
Ministry of Environmental Protection and Natural Resources of Ukraine (2021). Scheme of coverage of climate issues in state planning documents and in the implementation of strategic environmental assessment. Available at: https://mepr.gov.ua/news/34766.html.
Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources of Ukraine (2020). Annual National Inventory Report for Submission under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Kyoto Protocol. Available at: https://mepr.gov.ua/news/39033.html.
UN (2017). Review of the implementation of the main provisions of the Kyoto Protocol to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and the commitment of OECD and EU member states to implement the recommendations of the Paris Conference. Available at: https://ua.energy/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/3.-Osn_polozh_SOR21.pdf.
FAO (2022). SLM practices Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Available at: http://www.fao.org/land-water/land/sustainable-land-management/slm-practices.
Ministry of Economy of Ukraine (2021). Official website. Available at: https://www.me.gov.ua.
Borodina, O. M, Kyryzyuk, S. V, Yarovy, V. D., Ermoliev, Y. M., & Ermolieva, T. Y. (2016). Modeling of local land use systems in the conditions of global climate change. Economics and Forecasting, 1, 117–128. Available at: http://nbuv.gov.ua/UJRN/econprog_2016_1_10.